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Qual 72018 Battle Of the Bay 5
Red329
1831118.4
172119.6
319219.3
Blue326
9997136.8
501111.8
5813189.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342941,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,000329326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
219.31.2
217.0→215.8
Auto25.4
Teleop161.2
End36.0
red by 30.3
5813
#3
189.00.3
185.2→185.4
Auto23.0
Teleop144.7
End21.9
Second
172
#2
119.60.2
115.9→115.7
Auto17.8
Teleop95.8
End9.3
blue by 17.3
9997
#14
136.81.8
120.3→122.0
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End23.3
Third
1831
#9
118.42.7
127.1→124.4
Auto17.1
Teleop91.6
End7.1
red by 6.6
501
#21
111.80.8
112.2→111.4
Auto18.0
Teleop82.3
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed