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Red429
5813172.8
138165.0
5506116.8
Blue268
1512113.8
1721136.2
3597113.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052230100300500600700429268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.80.7
169.7170.4
Auto26.4
Teleop131.3
End15.6
red by 36.6
1721
#12
136.21.0
135.2136.2
Auto16.7
Teleop102.5
End20.7
Second
138
#2
165.00.1
164.4164.5
Auto20.0
Teleop128.1
End16.0
red by 51.2
1512
#17
113.80.1
113.8113.8
Auto17.5
Teleop94.1
End2.1
Third
5506
#18
116.80.3
115.3115.6
Auto14.6
Teleop86.6
End15.6
red by 3.6
3597
#24
113.30.3
113.0113.3
Auto13.5
Teleop88.2
End11.6