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Red236
131142.2
501122.7
5422113.4
Blue336
6367113.5
1699148.4
4546136.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287341100200400500236336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#8
142.20.1
142.0142.1
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End13.4
blue by 6.2
1699
#11
148.40.5
146.4146.9
Auto21.3
Teleop111.5
End17.3
Second
501
#5
122.70.8
121.2122.0
Auto18.0
Teleop87.6
End20.8
blue by 13.9
4546
#28
136.60.5
134.4135.0
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End19.9
Third
5422
#30
113.40.1
113.6113.5
Auto14.7
Teleop89.7
End8.1
blue by 0.1
6367
#22
113.50.8
110.4111.2
Auto16.2
Teleop87.6
End11.5