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Red263
131142.2
501122.7
5422113.4
Blue327
6367113.5
1699148.4
4546136.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285343100200400500263327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#8
142.20.1
142.1142.2
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End13.4
blue by 6.2
1699
#11
148.40.5
146.9147.4
Auto21.3
Teleop111.5
End17.3
Second
501
#5
122.70.7
122.0122.7
Auto18.0
Teleop87.6
End20.8
blue by 13.9
4546
#28
136.60.5
135.0135.5
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End19.9
Third
5422
#30
113.40.1
113.5113.4
Auto14.7
Teleop89.7
End8.1
blue by 0.1
6367
#22
113.50.8
111.2112.0
Auto16.2
Teleop87.6
End11.5