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Red199
15197.0
1699148.4
166131.4
Blue343
6762113.7
6691116.2
1073147.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281283200250300350199343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#11
148.40.1
138.9138.8
Auto21.3
Teleop111.5
End17.3
red by 1.0
1073
#10
147.40.3
133.3133.6
Auto15.6
Teleop116.1
End15.2
Second
166
#32
131.40.7
135.0134.3
Auto16.0
Teleop93.8
End21.4
red by 15.3
6691
#41
116.20.4
116.0115.6
Auto13.6
Teleop86.9
End15.5
Third
151
#37
97.00.7
101.3100.6
Auto14.7
Teleop81.8
End1.2
blue by 16.7
6762
#14
113.70.4
112.1112.5
Auto14.7
Teleop87.9
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed