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Red250
5633123.9
1512113.8
712697.5
Blue214
332395.8
6895106.9
4925109.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282247100200400500250214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5633
#15
123.90.6
131.7131.1
Auto17.8
Teleop92.7
End11.6
red by 14.6
4925
#25
109.30.2
109.7109.9
Auto16.5
Teleop87.4
End5.9
Second
1512
#17
113.80.1
112.0111.8
Auto17.5
Teleop94.1
End2.1
red by 6.9
6895
#36
106.913.0
77.790.7
Auto14.1
Teleop84.0
End6.0
Third
7126
#27
97.59.6
77.787.3
Auto12.9
Teleop77.6
End7.1
red by 1.7
3323
#26
95.80.8
101.1100.3
Auto14.8
Teleop73.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed