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Red358
6367113.5
1519179.2
4929107.3
Blue378
501122.7
213146.0
5506116.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3392380100200300400500600700800358378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.21.9
155.4157.3
Auto23.0
Teleop137.8
End17.0
red by 33.2
213
#6
146.01.1
135.1136.2
Auto22.3
Teleop102.5
End20.9
Second
6367
#22
113.50.8
107.3108.1
Auto16.2
Teleop87.6
End11.5
blue by 9.2
501
#5
122.70.1
95.895.9
Auto18.0
Teleop87.6
End20.8
Third
4929
#39
107.36.5
86.693.1
Auto12.4
Teleop81.2
End14.1
blue by 9.5
5506
#18
116.80.2
111.4111.6
Auto14.6
Teleop86.6
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed