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Red156
6762113.7
6895106.9
6367113.5
Blue327
4555122.6
3499102.2
131142.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613130100200400500600700800156327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6762
#14
113.70.6
113.4114.1
Auto14.7
Teleop87.9
End11.4
blue by 28.5
131
#8
142.20.4
131.0131.4
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End13.4
Second
6367
#22
113.50.7
109.1109.8
Auto16.2
Teleop87.6
End11.5
blue by 9.1
4555
#29
122.61.6
110.2111.8
Auto17.2
Teleop94.6
End9.4
Third
6895
#36
106.98.4
100.0108.4
Auto14.1
Teleop84.0
End6.0
red by 4.7
3499
#40
102.26.0
94.2100.2
Auto13.5
Teleop77.7
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed