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Red135
213146.0
731486.8
4929107.3
Blue328
1699148.4
4925109.3
7212116.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153060100400500600135328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#6
146.01.5
137.7139.2
Auto22.3
Teleop102.5
End20.9
blue by 2.5
1699
#11
148.40.3
138.2138.5
Auto21.3
Teleop111.5
End17.3
Second
4929
#39
107.31.9
98.3100.1
Auto12.4
Teleop81.2
End14.1
blue by 9.6
7212
#23
116.94.3
102.4106.6
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End10.9
Third
7314
#20
86.81.5
87.986.4
Auto12.3
Teleop69.1
End9.7
blue by 22.5
4925
#25
109.30.4
110.3109.9
Auto16.5
Teleop87.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed