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Red435
1071137.2
1519179.2
3609121.1
Blue134
6690118.9
15197.0
6691116.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612080100300400500435134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.21.3
159.1160.4
Auto23.0
Teleop137.8
End17.0
red by 60.3
6690
#33
118.94.8
115.6120.4
Auto16.4
Teleop88.4
End14.6
Second
137.21.4
121.8123.3
Auto14.3
Teleop104.5
End18.5
red by 21.1
6691
#41
116.21.0
116.5117.5
Auto13.6
Teleop86.9
End15.5
Third
3609
#13
121.10.5
114.6114.1
Auto14.4
Teleop89.2
End19.6
red by 24.1
151
#37
97.01.1
99.197.9
Auto14.7
Teleop81.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed