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Red213
1307113.2
3451122.9
3499102.2
Blue266
4958122.9
1071137.2
15197.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270273150200250300350400213266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3451
#31
122.91.8
114.3116.1
Auto15.9
Teleop89.8
End18.8
blue by 14.3
137.21.2
124.5125.7
Auto14.3
Teleop104.5
End18.5
Second
1307
#35
113.20.1
116.5116.4
Auto15.4
Teleop89.7
End8.3
blue by 9.7
4958
#19
122.91.2
120.4121.6
Auto15.3
Teleop91.1
End17.0
Third
3499
#40
102.21.0
106.1105.1
Auto13.5
Teleop77.7
End12.0
red by 5.2
151
#37
97.00.2
96.696.4
Auto14.7
Teleop81.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed