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Red238
131142.2
1247119.8
5506116.8
Blue441
1721136.2
1512113.8
1519179.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27930005001,0001,5002,000238441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#8
142.22.0
134.3136.3
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End13.4
blue by 37.0
179.21.4
162.3163.7
Auto23.0
Teleop137.8
End17.0
Second
1247
#16
119.81.1
114.1115.2
Auto14.8
Teleop99.4
End6.9
blue by 16.4
1721
#12
136.21.4
119.4120.7
Auto16.7
Teleop102.5
End20.7
Third
5506
#18
116.80.0
112.8112.8
Auto14.6
Teleop86.6
End15.6
red by 3.0
1512
#17
113.80.7
111.3110.6
Auto17.5
Teleop94.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed