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Red294
5813172.8
5902101.3
332395.8
Blue240
7133100.8
3597113.3
6691116.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3202320100200400500294240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.80.7
159.8160.5
Auto26.4
Teleop131.3
End15.6
red by 56.6
6691
#41
116.20.3
117.9118.2
Auto13.6
Teleop86.9
End15.5
Second
5902
#21
101.30.5
99.499.8
Auto14.1
Teleop80.0
End3.0
blue by 12.0
3597
#24
113.32.9
112.7109.8
Auto13.5
Teleop88.2
End11.6
Third
3323
#26
95.81.2
100.399.0
Auto14.8
Teleop73.0
End7.2
blue by 5.0
7133
#34
100.80.1
99.099.1
Auto16.7
Teleop75.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed