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Red470
7212116.9
166131.4
501122.7
Blue176
5422113.4
3499102.2
6895106.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285259150200350400450470176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#32
131.41.2
129.5128.3
Auto16.0
Teleop93.8
End21.4
red by 18.1
5422
#30
113.40.7
119.5118.8
Auto14.7
Teleop89.7
End8.1
Second
501
#5
122.72.6
102.5105.1
Auto18.0
Teleop87.6
End20.8
red by 15.8
6895
#36
106.90.7
111.7111.1
Auto14.1
Teleop84.0
End6.0
Third
7212
#23
116.90.1
111.6111.5
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End10.9
red by 14.7
3499
#40
102.20.9
105.1104.1
Auto13.5
Teleop77.7
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed