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Red313
501122.7
5633123.9
1721136.2
Blue223
3597113.3
15197.0
6762113.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283244100200400500313223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#12
136.21.8
113.3115.1
Auto16.7
Teleop102.5
End20.7
red by 22.5
6762
#14
113.70.2
112.3112.1
Auto14.7
Teleop87.9
End11.4
Second
5633
#15
123.90.9
132.6131.7
Auto17.8
Teleop92.7
End11.6
red by 10.6
3597
#24
113.39.1
86.895.9
Auto13.5
Teleop88.2
End11.6
Third
501
#5
122.70.0
95.995.8
Auto18.0
Teleop87.6
End20.8
red by 25.7
151
#37
97.01.5
102.8101.3
Auto14.7
Teleop81.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed