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Red147
6690118.9
5422113.4
1247119.8
Blue450
138165.0
5813172.8
4546136.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143360100300400500600147450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1247
#16
119.82.2
107.1109.3
Auto14.8
Teleop99.4
End6.9
blue by 53.0
172.81.1
153.5154.6
Auto26.4
Teleop131.3
End15.6
Second
6690
#33
118.97.3
104.5111.8
Auto16.4
Teleop88.4
End14.6
blue by 46.1
138
#2
165.01.1
151.5150.4
Auto20.0
Teleop128.1
End16.0
Third
5422
#30
113.41.7
123.8122.1
Auto14.7
Teleop89.7
End8.1
blue by 23.2
4546
#28
136.61.5
112.8114.2
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed