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Red366
1058172.7
6933159.3
6691116.6
Blue148
885131.6
6324116.2
5471107.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041950100300500600700366148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.70.7
169.4170.1
Auto16.4
Teleop126.9
End30.0
red by 41.1
885
#19
131.60.1
131.5131.6
Auto14.3
Teleop101.2
End15.5
Second
159.30.5
156.9157.4
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End16.7
red by 43.1
6324
#11
116.20.4
116.6116.2
Auto21.2
Teleop88.5
End2.3
Third
6691
#32
116.60.3
117.6117.3
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End11.7
red by 9.5
5471
#28
107.10.2
106.9107.1
Auto11.0
Teleop86.1
End9.5