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Red273
131130.2
95154.0
5556100.8
Blue61
5265117.5
2876138.9
6335107.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319245010020040050060027361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#5
154.00.3
152.7153.0
Auto19.5
Teleop124.1
End9.9
red by 15.1
138.90.3
138.3138.6
Auto19.3
Teleop103.9
End15.5
Second
131
#6
130.20.2
129.2129.5
Auto16.2
Teleop100.5
End12.7
red by 12.7
5265
#20
117.50.0
117.7117.7
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End16.8
Third
5556
#18
100.80.5
98.999.4
Auto14.5
Teleop77.0
End10.6
blue by 7.0
6335
#14
107.80.1
107.9107.9
Auto12.9
Teleop89.3
End3.5