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Red168
1517121.5
5265117.5
155109.9
Blue338
1289126.0
131130.2
2876138.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403040100200400500168338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
#21
121.55.5
99.7105.2
Auto13.9
Teleop93.3
End13.9
blue by 17.4
138.911.4
101.0112.5
Auto19.3
Teleop103.9
End15.5
Second
5265
#20
117.512.7
82.695.3
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End16.8
blue by 12.7
131
#6
130.28.1
111.5119.6
Auto16.2
Teleop100.5
End12.7
Third
155
#30
109.96.2
100.4106.6
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End7.5
blue by 16.1
1289
#15
126.06.1
92.698.7
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed