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Red235
5471107.1
95154.0
811141.2
Blue209
3205112.0
6933159.3
731491.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082300100400500600700235209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#5
154.011.0
106.5117.5
Auto19.5
Teleop124.1
End9.9
blue by 5.3
159.314.9
77.792.6
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End16.7
Second
811
#7
141.25.1
118.2123.3
Auto17.1
Teleop106.0
End14.9
red by 29.2
3205
#29
112.08.5
97.7106.3
Auto14.8
Teleop85.0
End11.6
Third
5471
#28
107.18.5
83.792.3
Auto11.0
Teleop86.1
End9.5
red by 15.7
7314
#35
91.42.0
103.6101.5
Auto10.8
Teleop76.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed