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Red267
155109.9
238175.0
6324116.2
Blue314
885131.6
6335107.8
5687181.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972690100200400500600267314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#1
175.03.8
127.7131.5
Auto23.5
Teleop132.0
End20.8
blue by 6.7
181.74.8
147.8152.5
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
Second
6324
#11
116.210.6
108.8119.3
Auto21.2
Teleop88.5
End2.3
blue by 15.4
885
#19
131.68.2
102.2110.4
Auto14.3
Teleop101.2
End15.5
Third
155
#30
109.93.6
106.6110.2
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End7.5
red by 2.1
6335
#14
107.85.0
81.586.5
Auto12.9
Teleop89.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed