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Red354
1474107.2
1289126.0
238175.0
Blue40
131130.2
5556100.8
713399.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27926202004006008001,0001,20035440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#1
175.03.8
131.5135.3
Auto23.5
Teleop132.0
End20.8
red by 44.8
131
#6
130.27.3
119.6126.8
Auto16.2
Teleop100.5
End12.7
Second
1289
#15
126.05.8
98.7104.5
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End16.8
red by 25.2
5556
#18
100.83.2
99.9103.2
Auto14.5
Teleop77.0
End10.6
Third
1474
#22
107.26.4
89.996.4
Auto16.8
Teleop79.9
End8.2
red by 7.9
7133
#34
99.37.1
86.893.9
Auto14.9
Teleop78.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed