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Red130
95154.0
3205112.0
590298.0
Blue216
3958119.1
1073134.3
6324116.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261309100200400500130216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#5
154.06.7
117.5124.2
Auto19.5
Teleop124.1
End9.9
red by 19.7
1073
#12
134.36.2
111.4117.6
Auto15.0
Teleop106.0
End9.6
Second
3205
#29
112.05.7
106.3112.0
Auto14.8
Teleop85.0
End11.6
blue by 7.1
3958
#13
119.17.7
101.8109.5
Auto19.3
Teleop91.0
End8.6
Third
5902
#27
98.04.1
92.296.3
Auto12.6
Teleop80.1
End5.9
blue by 18.1
6324
#11
116.28.4
119.3127.7
Auto21.2
Teleop88.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed