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Red69
1512111.8
151102.8
885131.6
Blue229
2342136.7
5686122.6
6691116.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26328810015020035040045050069229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#19
131.66.8
110.4117.2
Auto14.3
Teleop101.2
End15.5
blue by 5.1
136.71.4
119.1120.5
Auto16.5
Teleop106.2
End16.3
Second
1512
#25
111.86.5
90.997.3
Auto17.0
Teleop89.3
End2.0
blue by 10.8
5686
#23
122.610.1
94.1104.2
Auto14.8
Teleop99.1
End6.8
Third
151
#33
102.89.8
93.5103.3
Auto13.5
Teleop88.1
End-1.7
blue by 13.7
6691
#32
116.67.6
110.7118.3
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed