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Red129
713399.3
2342136.7
885131.6
Blue329
1058172.7
138151.9
5686122.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1863650100300400500600129329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.72.0
120.5122.4
Auto16.5
Teleop106.2
End16.3
blue by 36.0
172.76.9
135.4142.3
Auto16.4
Teleop126.9
End30.0
Second
885
#19
131.62.6
117.2119.8
Auto14.3
Teleop101.2
End15.5
blue by 20.3
138
#10
151.96.2
126.3132.5
Auto16.9
Teleop118.8
End13.4
Third
7133
#34
99.31.6
93.995.5
Auto14.9
Teleop78.1
End5.1
blue by 23.3
5686
#23
122.67.8
104.2112.0
Auto14.8
Teleop99.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed