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Red25
6335107.8
6324116.2
151102.8
Blue425
2876138.9
1247105.7
6933159.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23728510020040025425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#11
116.24.7
127.7132.4
Auto21.2
Teleop88.5
End2.3
blue by 43.1
159.39.5
102.5112.0
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End16.7
Second
6335
#14
107.84.6
86.591.1
Auto12.9
Teleop89.3
End3.5
blue by 31.1
138.95.8
121.9127.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.9
End15.5
Third
151
#33
102.84.7
103.3108.0
Auto13.5
Teleop88.1
End-1.7
blue by 2.9
1247
#16
105.73.0
106.1103.1
Auto12.9
Teleop91.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed