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Red308
95154.0
5687181.7
1474107.2
Blue237
3930130.2
238175.0
1512111.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308233100200400500308237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.72.7
157.2159.8
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
red by 6.7
238
#1
175.05.4
135.3140.7
Auto23.5
Teleop132.0
End20.8
Second
95
#5
154.02.1
124.2126.3
Auto19.5
Teleop124.1
End9.9
red by 23.8
3930
#17
130.23.9
113.2117.1
Auto14.4
Teleop102.8
End10.9
Third
1474
#22
107.27.0
96.4103.3
Auto16.8
Teleop79.9
End8.2
blue by 4.6
1512
#25
111.82.5
97.399.9
Auto17.0
Teleop89.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed