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Red421
3323101.2
5687181.7
6933159.3
Blue179
590298.0
2342136.7
1517121.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3501590100200300400500600421179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.73.4
162.5165.8
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
red by 45.1
136.70.1
123.5123.4
Auto16.5
Teleop106.2
End16.3
Second
159.38.4
121.0129.4
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End16.7
red by 37.8
1517
#21
121.51.7
112.0110.3
Auto13.9
Teleop93.3
End13.9
Third
3323
#31
101.21.1
97.095.9
Auto14.2
Teleop78.5
End7.8
red by 3.2
5902
#27
98.01.0
96.397.4
Auto12.6
Teleop80.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed