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Red115
6691116.6
2876138.9
6335107.8
Blue275
3958119.1
3930130.2
811141.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692970100200400500600115275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.94.3
134.4138.7
Auto19.3
Teleop103.9
End15.5
blue by 2.3
811
#7
141.23.4
130.9134.3
Auto17.1
Teleop106.0
End14.9
Second
6691
#32
116.60.3
127.9128.2
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End11.7
blue by 13.6
3930
#17
130.21.7
120.1121.8
Auto14.4
Teleop102.8
End10.9
Third
6335
#14
107.82.6
90.593.0
Auto12.9
Teleop89.3
End3.5
blue by 11.3
3958
#13
119.12.0
113.8115.8
Auto19.3
Teleop91.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed