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Red124
1512111.8
1474107.2
6324116.2
Blue253
155109.9
5556100.8
1058172.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276280150200250300350400124253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#11
116.20.9
131.6130.7
Auto21.2
Teleop88.5
End2.3
blue by 56.5
172.77.0
147.9154.9
Auto16.4
Teleop126.9
End30.0
Second
1512
#25
111.83.3
101.7105.0
Auto17.0
Teleop89.3
End2.0
red by 1.9
155
#30
109.92.0
113.6111.7
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End7.5
Third
1474
#22
107.21.9
109.0110.8
Auto16.8
Teleop79.9
End8.2
red by 6.4
5556
#18
100.83.8
100.997.1
Auto14.5
Teleop77.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed