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Red437
238175.0
5459115.5
2342136.7
Blue132
6691116.6
731491.4
1073134.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972600100200400500600437132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#1
175.03.2
146.5149.7
Auto23.5
Teleop132.0
End20.8
red by 40.7
1073
#12
134.34.3
130.9135.2
Auto15.0
Teleop106.0
End9.6
Second
136.70.8
123.4124.2
Auto16.5
Teleop106.2
End16.3
red by 20.1
6691
#32
116.61.6
128.2126.6
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End11.7
Third
5459
#26
115.50.1
110.4110.3
Auto11.2
Teleop88.3
End18.2
red by 24.2
7314
#35
91.41.5
95.096.6
Auto10.8
Teleop76.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed