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Qual 412018 NE District Granite State Event
Red407
5265117.5
1307124.6
5687181.7
Blue137
2876138.9
1474107.2
3323101.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462270100200300400500600407137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#2
181.73.8
165.8→169.7
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
red by 42.8
2876
#9
138.91.0
138.7→139.6
Auto19.3
Teleop103.9
End15.5
Second
1307
#24
124.64.8
113.9→118.7
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End8.5
red by 17.4
1474
#22
107.21.1
110.8→109.7
Auto16.8
Teleop79.9
End8.2
Third
5265
#20
117.50.7
113.8→113.0
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End16.8
red by 16.3
3323
#31
101.21.3
96.7→98.1
Auto14.2
Teleop78.5
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed