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Red160
6324116.2
2876138.9
731491.4
Blue309
238175.0
590298.0
5471107.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2382980100200400500600160309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.90.1
138.8138.9
Auto19.3
Teleop103.9
End15.5
blue by 36.1
238
#1
175.04.7
154.2158.9
Auto23.5
Teleop132.0
End20.8
Second
6324
#11
116.23.2
125.2122.0
Auto21.2
Teleop88.5
End2.3
red by 9.1
5471
#28
107.10.4
103.0103.4
Auto11.0
Teleop86.1
End9.5
Third
7314
#35
91.41.2
96.995.7
Auto10.8
Teleop76.7
End2.6
blue by 6.7
5902
#27
98.02.1
99.597.4
Auto12.6
Teleop80.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed