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Red193
1073134.3
155109.9
5686122.6
Blue235
131130.2
1247105.7
95154.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293250100200400500600193235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#12
134.31.0
136.4137.4
Auto15.0
Teleop106.0
End9.6
blue by 19.7
95
#5
154.06.5
139.3145.8
Auto19.5
Teleop124.1
End9.9
Second
5686
#23
122.60.5
120.5121.0
Auto14.8
Teleop99.1
End6.8
blue by 7.6
131
#6
130.20.6
129.7129.1
Auto16.2
Teleop100.5
End12.7
Third
155
#30
109.90.7
109.6108.9
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End7.5
red by 4.2
1247
#16
105.70.5
106.5105.9
Auto12.9
Teleop91.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed