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Red325
138151.9
151102.8
1517121.5
Blue186
811141.2
1307124.6
1512111.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2892760100200400500325186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#10
151.92.0
146.9149.0
Auto16.9
Teleop118.8
End13.4
red by 10.7
811
#7
141.21.5
138.5140.0
Auto17.1
Teleop106.0
End14.9
Second
1517
#21
121.53.4
113.4116.9
Auto13.9
Teleop93.3
End13.9
blue by 3.1
1307
#24
124.62.2
122.9125.1
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End8.5
Third
151
#33
102.82.7
109.2106.5
Auto13.5
Teleop88.1
End-1.7
blue by 9.0
1512
#25
111.83.6
106.1109.6
Auto17.0
Teleop89.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed