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Red141
6691116.6
151102.8
3205112.0
Blue327
590298.0
1058172.7
5265117.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373070100200400500141327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6691
#32
116.61.6
123.2121.6
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End11.7
blue by 56.1
172.72.4
161.1163.5
Auto16.4
Teleop126.9
End30.0
Second
3205
#29
112.01.1
111.0112.1
Auto14.8
Teleop85.0
End11.6
blue by 5.5
5265
#20
117.50.9
114.3115.1
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End16.8
Third
151
#33
102.80.8
106.5105.7
Auto13.5
Teleop88.1
End-1.7
red by 4.8
5902
#27
98.00.8
97.496.7
Auto12.6
Teleop80.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed