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Red170
5471107.1
3958119.1
1474107.2
Blue321
885131.6
1517121.5
811141.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233450100300400500600170321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3958
#13
119.10.7
118.0118.7
Auto19.3
Teleop91.0
End8.6
blue by 22.1
811
#7
141.20.3
140.0140.3
Auto17.1
Teleop106.0
End14.9
Second
1474
#22
107.20.5
107.4108.0
Auto16.8
Teleop79.9
End8.2
blue by 24.3
885
#19
131.60.5
129.5130.0
Auto14.3
Teleop101.2
End15.5
Third
5471
#28
107.10.9
103.4104.3
Auto11.0
Teleop86.1
End9.5
blue by 14.4
1517
#21
121.53.2
116.9120.1
Auto13.9
Teleop93.3
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed