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Red144
590298.0
1247105.7
6691116.6
Blue207
1474107.2
5686122.6
1307124.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2752230100400500600700144207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6691
#32
116.613.3
97.4110.7
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End11.7
blue by 8.0
1307
#24
124.67.8
86.494.2
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End8.5
Second
1247
#16
105.72.4
111.4109.0
Auto12.9
Teleop91.2
End1.0
blue by 16.9
5686
#23
122.612.8
81.494.1
Auto14.8
Teleop99.1
End6.8
Third
5902
#27
98.08.0
84.392.2
Auto12.6
Teleop80.1
End5.9
blue by 9.2
1474
#22
107.27.4
82.589.9
Auto16.8
Teleop79.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed