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Red309
1073134.3
1512111.8
2342136.7
Blue182
5556100.8
6335107.8
3958119.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682520100200300400500600700309182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.70.9
118.2119.1
Auto16.5
Teleop106.2
End16.3
red by 17.6
3958
#13
119.113.1
88.8101.8
Auto19.3
Teleop91.0
End8.6
Second
1073
#12
134.38.1
103.3111.4
Auto15.0
Teleop106.0
End9.6
red by 26.5
6335
#14
107.89.0
72.481.5
Auto12.9
Teleop89.3
End3.5
Third
1512
#25
111.88.7
82.290.9
Auto17.0
Teleop89.3
End2.0
red by 11.0
5556
#18
100.86.4
93.599.9
Auto14.5
Teleop77.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed