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Semifinal 1-22018 NE District Granite State Event
Red334
5687181.7
238175.0
1517121.5
Blue262
138151.9
811141.2
3930130.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364267100200300400500600700334262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#2
181.70.4
180.3→180.7
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
red by 29.9
138
#10
151.90.1
151.9→151.9
Auto16.9
Teleop118.8
End13.4
Second
238
#1
175.00.8
172.1→172.9
Auto23.5
Teleop132.0
End20.8
red by 33.8
811
#7
141.20.3
140.6→140.9
Auto17.1
Teleop106.0
End14.9
Third
1517
#21
121.50.1
121.7→121.6
Auto13.9
Teleop93.3
End13.9
blue by 8.7
3930
#17
130.20.1
130.3→130.2
Auto14.4
Teleop102.8
End10.9