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Red408
5687181.7
238175.0
1517121.5
Blue160
138151.9
811141.2
3930130.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365268100200300400500600700408160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.70.4
180.7181.0
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
red by 29.9
138
#10
151.90.0
151.9151.9
Auto16.9
Teleop118.8
End13.4
Second
238
#1
175.00.7
172.9173.6
Auto23.5
Teleop132.0
End20.8
red by 33.8
811
#7
141.20.3
140.9141.2
Auto17.1
Teleop106.0
End14.9
Third
1517
#21
121.50.1
121.6121.6
Auto13.9
Teleop93.3
End13.9
blue by 8.7
3930
#17
130.20.0
130.2130.2
Auto14.4
Teleop102.8
End10.9