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Red226
5687197.6
868760.1
3467125.3
Blue395
166128.0
2713134.1
1922112.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632460100200300400500600700226395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.60.0
197.6197.6
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End20.8
red by 63.5
134.10.0
134.1134.1
Auto20.9
Teleop96.3
End17.5
Second
3467
#11
125.30.0
125.3125.3
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End6.7
blue by 2.7
166
#18
128.00.0
128.0128.0
Auto16.8
Teleop95.0
End13.9
Third
8687
#22
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 52.8
112.90.0
112.9112.9
Auto15.8
Teleop81.6
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest odds54%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds