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Red374
885125.6
1289141.6
3236162.7
Blue232
1247119.8
501119.4
1058153.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3502870100200400500600374232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.70.0
162.7162.7
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End21.4
red by 8.9
1058
#13
153.90.0
153.9153.9
Auto17.0
Teleop117.3
End11.9
Second
1289
#15
141.60.0
141.6141.6
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End17.4
red by 21.8
1247
#20
119.80.0
119.8119.8
Auto14.8
Teleop99.4
End6.9
Third
885
#21
125.60.0
125.6125.6
Auto16.0
Teleop98.6
End13.0
red by 6.2
501
#24
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest odds27%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds