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Red266
1058153.9
1289141.6
5962118.3
Blue294
6328159.9
868760.1
213146.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3063570100200400500600700266294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#13
153.90.0
153.9153.9
Auto17.0
Teleop117.3
End11.9
blue by 6.1
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto22.5
Teleop118.0
End20.9
Second
1289
#15
141.60.0
141.6141.6
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End17.4
blue by 4.4
213
#6
146.00.0
146.0146.0
Auto22.3
Teleop102.5
End20.9
Third
5962
#19
118.30.0
118.3118.3
Auto20.1
Teleop84.4
End14.8
red by 58.1
8687
#22
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest odds90%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds