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Red203
885125.6
1519187.9
2713134.1
Blue356
3236162.7
5813176.9
1729152.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286380100200500600700203356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#12
187.90.0
187.9187.9
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2
red by 11.1
176.90.0
176.9176.9
Auto22.1
Teleop138.5
End22.0
Second
134.10.0
134.1134.1
Auto20.9
Teleop96.3
End17.5
blue by 28.6
162.70.0
162.7162.7
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End21.4
Third
885
#21
125.60.0
125.6125.6
Auto16.0
Teleop98.6
End13.0
blue by 26.6
152.30.0
152.3152.3
Auto17.6
Teleop118.0
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest odds90%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds26%Face the Boss odds