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Red349
1922121.3
4905151.8
1729155.5
Blue83
88166.2
1073152.1
501112.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274371010020050060070034983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#10
155.50.2
152.3152.5
Auto17.5
Teleop120.2
End19.2
blue by 10.8
88
#28
166.20.1
175.0175.1
Auto22.6
Teleop128.7
End13.7
Second
151.80.6
155.6155.0
Auto18.2
Teleop113.0
End19.1
blue by 0.3
1073
#15
152.10.5
159.2158.7
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End9.9
Third
121.30.6
112.9113.5
Auto17.7
Teleop87.3
End17.1
red by 8.4
501
#23
112.90.2
119.4119.2
Auto18.0
Teleop83.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed