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Red303
138147.6
238182.1
172116.1
Blue186
1735105.6
69120.2
6763162.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3562560100200300400500600700303186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#19
182.11.6
189.1187.5
Auto16.0
Teleop146.5
End19.9
red by 19.6
6763
#25
162.51.6
168.6167.0
Auto17.9
Teleop126.4
End16.5
Second
138
#16
147.60.7
149.2149.9
Auto19.4
Teleop114.1
End10.3
red by 27.4
69
#24
120.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.5
Teleop89.5
End11.0
Third
172
#8
116.11.2
121.6120.3
Auto15.9
Teleop92.5
End6.7
red by 10.5
1735
#17
105.60.6
108.7108.2
Auto16.2
Teleop79.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed