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Red216
125204.0
166131.1
319217.4
Blue386
190151.1
131173.3
509149.5
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4292790200600800216386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#18
217.40.3
223.9224.3
Auto24.9
Teleop160.3
End33.0
red by 44.2
131
#2
173.31.9
163.6165.5
Auto17.3
Teleop139.5
End19.5
Second
125
#3
204.00.8
209.2208.3
Auto23.7
Teleop163.0
End15.8
red by 52.9
190
#4
151.10.9
144.4145.4
Auto18.3
Teleop118.2
End13.1
Third
166
#14
131.11.1
128.0129.1
Auto17.4
Teleop100.3
End13.4
blue by 18.5
509
#21
149.51.5
149.2150.6
Auto17.3
Teleop107.6
End23.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
48%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed