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Qual 42018 RiverRage 22
Red237
2876133.4
1289141.8
78176.7
Blue286
3467122.6
1058154.1
811139.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3413190100200400500600237286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#9
176.71.2
175.1→176.3
Auto21.2
Teleop128.0
End26.1
red by 22.6
1058
#12
154.10.7
150.7→151.4
Auto15.8
Teleop120.8
End16.6
Second
1289
#11
141.80.4
141.6→141.9
Auto18.2
Teleop105.7
End17.4
red by 2.2
811
#6
139.60.8
142.9→142.1
Auto22.5
Teleop103.5
End13.3
Third
2876
#27
133.40.7
139.4→138.7
Auto18.4
Teleop102.8
End11.1
red by 10.7
3467
#22
122.60.4
125.3→124.9
Auto15.9
Teleop97.1
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed