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Red313
319217.4
1289141.8
88166.2
Blue336
78176.7
5813184.6
1735105.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39028802006008001,000313336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#18
217.41.8
221.6219.8
Auto24.9
Teleop160.3
End33.0
red by 32.8
5813
#13
184.60.5
185.1184.6
Auto21.5
Teleop142.1
End21.7
Second
88
#28
166.22.4
170.6168.2
Auto22.6
Teleop128.7
End13.7
blue by 10.5
78
#9
176.70.2
177.4177.2
Auto21.2
Teleop128.0
End26.1
Third
1289
#11
141.80.1
141.8141.9
Auto18.2
Teleop105.7
End17.4
red by 36.2
1735
#17
105.60.4
106.1105.7
Auto16.2
Teleop79.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed